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1-Min Market Brief_20250403

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  Key Takeaways

  • Market Environment: U.S. ADP employment rose more than expected in March, pushing U.S. stocks and Bitcoin higher ahead of Trump's tariff announcement. Trump's speech began by indicating a 10% baseline tariff, and the market assumed all reciprocal tariffs would be 10%, with risk assets all trending higher, with Bitcoin even spiking to $88,000 at one point. However, market sentiment took a sharp turn for the worse when specific tariff charts showed tariffs far exceeding expectations. U.S. stocks dived after the bell and Bitcoin fell to near $82,000. Crypto market sentiment has turned to extreme fear once again, with Bitcoin dominance on a 6-gain streak and no hot trends in the torrents.
  • Market Highlights: Justin Sun claimed that FDUSD's issuer was insolvent, causing FDUSD to depeg to $0.87. Binance and FDUSD’s issuer refuted this, stating they maintain full solvency backed by audit reports, leading to a partial recovery in FDUSD’s peg. The conflicting narratives sparked market turmoil.

  Major Assets Changes

Index Value % Change
S&P 500 5,670.98 +0.67%
NASDAQ 19,581.78 +0.75%
BTC 82,513.40 -3.10%
ETH 1,794.92 -5.79%
 
Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 25 (44 a day earlier), indicating "Extreme Fear."

  Macro Economy

  • Trump declared a national emergency, imposing comprehensive tariffs with a 10% "baseline minimum tariff," while higher rates apply to nations with the largest trade deficits with the U.S.
  • White House: Baseline tariffs take effect at midnight on April 5, with reciprocal tariffs following at midnight on April 9.
  • U.S. March ADP employment: Increased by 155K, surpassing prior and forecasted figures.

  Industry Highlights

  • Fidelity launched a retirement plan allowing direct crypto investments (BTC, ETH, LTC).
  • VanEck registered a BNB ETF in Delaware.
  • Franklin Templeton plans to introduce Bitcoin and crypto ETPs in Europe.
  • Galaxy Digital secured a U.K. derivatives trading license.
  • CoinDesk reported: CoinDesk Article: Sun Yuchen Fills $456 Million Funding Shortfall for TUSD; Justin Sun Posts Article Saying FDUSD Issuer Is Insolvent, Unable to Meet Redemption Obligations and Suspected of Fraud, Calls on Hong Kong Regulators to Take Decisive Measures; FDUSD Rapidly Drops Off Anchor to 0.883; FDUSD Issuer Responds, Says Justin Sun Posted False Statements. Company has full solvency; Binance releases FDUSD audit report confirming full support by 1:1 USD
  • BNB Chain announced: KILO, MUBARAK, BROCCOLI714, TUT, and BANANAS31 as the first winners of its $100M liquidity incentive program.
  • Circle paid Binance $60.25M for a two-year USDC promotion deal, contingent on Binance holding ≥1.5B USDC.
  • DTCC unveiled a blockchain collateral platform, accelerating financial tokenization.
  • Indian listed firm Jerking’s board approved fundraising to purchase Bitcoin.

  Project Highlights

  • BIGTIME (+16%): Listed on Binance’s second "Vote-to-List" round.
  • BANANAS31 (+10%): Awarded BNB Chain liquidity incentives.
  • W (+8%): Unusual pre-unlock rally; on April 3, 47.4% of W’s circulating supply (~$117M) unlocks.

  Weekly Outlook

  • April 3: U.S. March S&P Global Services PMI (final); U.S. March ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI; W token unlock (47.4% of circulating supply, ~$117M).
  • April 4: U.S. March Nonfarm Payrolls; Fed Chair Powell’s speech.
  • April 6–9: 2025 Hong Kong Web3 Carnival.

 

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