Dzisiejsze wiadomości dotyczące kryptowalut i Bitcoina
Mt. Gox, the infamous crypto exchange, has started repaying its debts in Bitcoin (BTC) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH) to rehabilitation creditors. These repayments are being processed through designated crypto exchanges, adhering to the rehabilitation plan. According to an X post by the MtGoxBalanceBot, the Mt. Gox Trustee holds 94,457 BTC, with 47,288 BTC moved from these addresses since. Quick Take Rehabilitation creditors receive repayments from Mt. Gox in Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash via designated exchanges. Repayments will occur only after confirming account validity and acceptance of Agency Receipt Agreement by creditors. Bitcoin price drops over 5% on July 5, amid repayment news and market fears. Analysts predict potential further declines, but long-term bullish outlook remains. The Rise and Fall of Mt. Gox Mt. Gox, founded in 2010 by Jed McCaleb, was once the largest BTC exchange, handling 70% of global BTC transactions. McCaleb sold the exchange to Mark Karpelès in 2011. However, in early 2014, Mt. Gox suspended all BTC withdrawals due to technical issues and later revealed a long-standing security breach that resulted in the loss of approximately 850,000 BTC. The exchange filed for bankruptcy in February 2014, and in 2018, the case transitioned to civil rehabilitation. In 2019, Karpelès was convicted of falsifying financial records. Reddit Users Report Receiving BTC, BCH Repayments Example of a Reddit user confirming Mt. Gox repayment | Source: Cointelegraph Several Reddit users have reported receiving BTC and BCH repayments credited to their accounts. One user shared an email from Mt. Gox, detailing the blockchain transfer of the repayable BTC/BCH amount as part of the Base Repayment and the Early Lump-Sum Repayment or the Intermediate Repayment. The email lists "MtGox Co., Ltd." as the Rehabilitation Debtor and Nobuaki Kobayashi, Attorney-at-law, as the Rehabilitation Trustee. Mt. Gox’s Conditions for Repayments Mt. Gox’s official confirmation about BTC, BCH repayments | Source: Mt. Gox The remaining rehabilitation creditors will receive their repayments once several conditions are met. These include confirming account validity and creditors' acceptance of the intent to subscribe to the Agency Receipt Agreement by designated exchanges. Additionally, the repayment procedures between the Rehabilitation Trustee and exchanges must be finalized to ensure safe and secure transactions. Bitcoin Drops Over 5% Amid Mt. Gox Reimbursements BTC/USDT price chart | Source: KuCoin Bitcoin faces significant market pressure as Mt. Gox's reimbursements trigger a major liquidation cascade. On July 5, Bitcoin's price dropped 5%, hitting a low of $53,600 on KuCoin. Traders are now focusing on the $52,000 support level, a critical point for Bitcoin's supertrend indicator on weekly timeframes. Popular trader Matthew Hyland notes that this support level has been a foundation for Bitcoin's price since mid-March's $73,800 all-time high. The supertrend line, which uses the average true range to delineate buy and sell phases, has kept BTC/USD above it since the end of 2022. Read more: Bitcoin Slides Under $59k as Mt. Gox Repayments Begin: Is It Time to Buy the Dip? Analysts Caution Against Reacting to Drawdowns BTC/USD chart | Source: Rekt Capital Adam Back, founder and CEO of Blockstream, advises investors to remain calm and increase their exposure to Bitcoin and MicroStrategy stock, highlighting that historical bull markets have seen multiple 30% drawdowns. Similarly, analyst Rekt Capital observes that the current pullback is an average retrace in depth and above-average in duration, suggesting that Bitcoin's price history is "repeating as we speak." Bitcoin’s Long-term Bullish Outlook Still Holds Despite the short-term bearish sentiment, some analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects. Josh Gilbert from eToro points to potential catalysts such as Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and the approval of an Ethereum ETF by the SEC, which could significantly boost the crypto market. Swyftx analyst Pav Hundal echoes this sentiment, emphasizing that while the short-term outlook may be challenging, the long-term macro conditions remain positive. Conclusion Mt. Gox's repayment process marks a significant milestone in the rehabilitation of the once-dominant exchange. While the immediate market reaction has been volatile, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive, with potential catalysts on the horizon. As the crypto market navigates these developments, investors are advised to stay informed and consider both short-term risks and long-term opportunities.
The Bitcoin market faced a significant downturn today. The cryptocurrency fell from a high of $61,055 to a low of $57,800. As of now, Bitcoin is trading at $58,854.99, marking a 3.60% decline. Ethereum and Solana followed suit, dropping by 4.40% and 8.96%, respectively. Quick Take Bitcoin plunges to $57,800, affecting the entire crypto market. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index shows increased fear among investors. Despite the dip amid crypto whale sell-offs, retail investors are buying the dip. Upcoming repayments from Mt. Gox are expected to affect the market. Fundstrat’s Tom Lee remains optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term potential. Bitcoin Takes a Hit BTC/USDT price chart | Source: KuCoin Bitcoin is currently 20.2% below its all-time high of $73,750.07, reached in March 2024. This dip brings Bitcoin to a two-month low. Experts link this drop to the impending Mt. Gox fund repayments, which will be made in Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash. These repayments might put selling pressure on the market. Read more: Will $10 Billion in Bitcoin Repayments from Mt. Gox Weaken BTC Price? Can BTC Drop to $48-$50k? Not everyone shares Lee's optimism. Kudret Ayyldr, research manager at GCM Investment, suggests that Bitcoin's inability to stay above $67,500 could lead to a further drop to the $48-50K range. This prediction reflects the current market's uncertainty and the possibility of further corrections. Crypto Whales Sell Millions of BTC, but Retail Investors Buy the Dip ‘Buy the dip’ trends on social media | Source: Santiment The market saw significant sell-offs by crypto whales. According to a report on BeInCrypto, a whale wallet deposited 1,800 BTC, worth $106.08 million, into Binance. This large deposit suggests a potential sale. Over the past week, this whale has transferred 5,281 BTC, worth around $423 million, to Binance. Despite the bearish market, retail investors are buying the dip aggressively. Data from Santiment shows that mentions of "buy the dip" on social platforms like Reddit, X (formerly Twitter), 4chan, and Bitcoin Talk have doubled. Santiment's data indicates that retail buyers see this as an opportunity to accumulate Bitcoin below $60,000. This behavior indicates that many see the current dip as a buying opportunity. Crypto fear and greed index | Source: Alternative The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at 44, indicating fear in the market. On June 25, it hit an 18-month low of 31. This index reflects investor sentiment, and the current score suggests a cautious market environment. Mt. Gox Repayments Weigh the Market Down Tom Lee, founder of Fundstrat, attributes the negative sentiment to the upcoming Mt. Gox repayments. Mt. Gox will return $9 billion worth of Bitcoin to its creditors in July. This situation has created concerns that a significant sell-off might occur if creditors decide to liquidate their recovered Bitcoin. Despite these concerns, Lee remains bullish. He predicts that Bitcoin can hit $150,000 before the end of 2024. He believes that the removal of the Mt. Gox overhang will lead to a sharp market rebound in the second half of the year. Notional Open Interest in Bitcoin Futures Drops by 18% Bitcoin open interest-weighted funding rate | Source: CoinGlass The futures market shows mixed signals. Notional open interest in Bitcoin futures has dropped by 18% over the past month, as per a report on CoinDesk. However, open interest in BTC terms has remained steady. This suggests that while the market has seen a reduction in bullish bets, traders are still placing long positions. Positive funding rates indicate a bias for bullish bets. This, coupled with steady open interest, suggests that traders are hopeful for a market rebound once the selling pressure subsides. Spot and Options Traders Place Bullish Bets Activity in the spot and options markets also indicate a potential upside. Crypto whales have been buying the dips since late June. Margin long positions have steadily increased, showing continued confidence among large investors. BTC margin long positions | Source: CoinGlass QCP Capital reports that traders are buying topside bets in the options market, anticipating a year-end rally. This behavior aligns with the observation of significant interest in longer-term options at higher strike prices. Conclusion The Bitcoin market is currently experiencing a significant downturn. However, retail investors and some large players remain bullish, buying the dip and placing long positions. The upcoming Mt. Gox repayments are expected to create short-term volatility, but experts like Tom Lee remain optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term potential. The market's current state reflects a complex mix of fear and hope, with investors watching closely for signs of a rebound. Crypto analyst Cold Blooded Shiller advises caution. He suggests that traders adapt to market momentum but also emphasizes the importance of patience. He recommends avoiding active trading during such volatile conditions and instead focusing on strategic patience until the market stabilizes.
Since April, Bitcoin has fluctuated between $59,000 and $74,000. The cryptocurrency faced significant selling pressure and negative sentiment among retail traders. Historical trends suggest that July could be a bullish month, offering hope for Bitcoin bulls. Quick Take Bitcoin's price has ranged between $59,000 and $74,000 since April. July historically shows a bullish trend for Bitcoin with an average return of over 11%. Bitcoin ETFs saw $130 million in inflows on July 1, the highest since early June. Analysts predict a possible strong rebound in July despite headwinds. Bitcoin's price is subject to seasonal cycles. Profit-taking around tax season in April and May often leads to price drawdowns. Conversely, December usually sees increased demand, known as the "Santa Claus" rally. These predictable patterns can influence cryptocurrency prices, leading to notable changes. Read more: Bitcoin Price Rebounds Past $63,000: Will It Hit $70k in July? Bitcoin’s Historical Performance in July Bitcoin’s historical performance in July | Source: CoinGlass Data shows that Bitcoin has performed well in July over the past decade. On average, Bitcoin has gained more than 11% in July, with seven out of ten years showing positive returns. For instance, from 2019 to 2022, Bitcoin's July returns were 27%, 20%, and 24%, respectively. The start of July saw U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETFs record nearly $130 million in inflows, the highest since early June. This followed over $900 million in outflows in the previous month. Such inflows indicate renewed investor interest and confidence. Analysts Forecast Bounce in BTC Price Singapore-based QCP Capital noted in a recent broadcast that Bitcoin tends to bounce back strongly in July, especially after a negative June. Their options desk saw flows positioning for an upside move, potentially in anticipation of the ETH spot ETF launch. Historical trends of Bitcoin’s gains in July | Source: X Crypto fund Matrixport reported that Bitcoin's July returns from 2019 to 2022 were around 27%, 20%, and 24%, respectively. This historical trend suggests a bullish July. According to trending polls on Polymarket, 78% users believe that Bitcoin price will hold above $61,000 by July 5. In another poll, 36% users expect BTC price to touch $70,000 in July. Potential Challenges Despite the optimistic outlook, some analysts predict that July could face challenges. The German government's sizeable Bitcoin sale and the upcoming Mt. Gox repayments may exert pressure on Bitcoin's price. The repayments could see around $8.5 billion in Bitcoin paid back to creditors, starting in the first week of July. Read more: Will $10 Billion in Bitcoin Repayments from Mt. Gox Weaken BTC Price? Market Resilience: Bitcoin Gains 4.5% BTC/USDT price | Source: KuCoin Despite these challenges, Bitcoin showed resilience. From June 28 to July 1, Bitcoin rose by 4.5%, breaking the $63,000 resistance. The bearish trend was reversed by three key factors: Inflows into Bitcoin ETFs. Entry of new major investors. Renewed investor confidence due to traditional market instability. Mainstream Market’s Impact on Bitcoin Price Trends Billionaire Michael Dell, founder and CEO of Dell Technologies, sparked excitement with a suggestive message about a possible Bitcoin investment. Dell's company holds $5.83 billion in cash and equivalents, potentially hinting at a significant Bitcoin investment. Additionally, Sony's Tokyo-based subsidiary, Amber Japan, rebranded as S.BLOX to focus on cryptocurrency trading. The firm emphasized user-friendliness and expanded features, indicating a strategic move into the crypto space. Some investors are turning to Bitcoin due to concerns over inflated tech stock valuations. For example, Nvidia's forward sales estimate jumped from 12 times to 21 times in two months. This shift reflects a broader trend where investors seek alternative assets, including Bitcoin. Conclusion Historical trends and seasonal cycles suggest that Bitcoin may see a strong rebound in July. Despite potential challenges, the renewed investor confidence and inflows into Bitcoin ETFs indicate a bullish outlook. As always, market dynamics are subject to change, but the signs point towards a positive performance for Bitcoin in the coming weeks.
This week, several major events are poised to impact the crypto market significantly. Key developments include the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes, the launch of Etherfi’s airdrop Season 3, and several other crucial events that are likely to influence the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector and the broader crypto industry. Quick Take The release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes and non-farm payroll figures for June are critical for the crypto market. Etherfi’s announcement of its ETHFI airdrop Season 3 is a major event for Ethereum network participants. The unlocking of SUI tokens and other major tokens like ENA and DYDX is set to influence various token economies. FOMC Meeting Minutes and June NFP Data From the US This week, the crypto market is bracing for several macroeconomic data releases, notably the FOMC meeting minutes and the non-farm payroll figures for June. Analysts expect 180,000 new jobs in June, keeping the unemployment rate at 4%, the highest since February 2022. May saw a gain of 272,000 jobs, initially boosting confidence about the economy despite signs of a slowdown. Investor concerns about US economic momentum may grow with below-expectation numbers. June’s data revealed continuing unemployment claims at 1.84 million, a peak since November 2021, highlighting difficulties for job seekers. The focus will also be on the average hourly earnings growth, expected to decrease to a post-pandemic low of 3.9% year-on-year in June. BTC Price Performance: Watch Liquidity Levels - $62.5k to $63.5k BTC/USDT price chart | Source: KuCoin Analysts believe these insights will significantly impact Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader crypto market. According to crypto analyst CrypNuevo, Bitcoin has shown preliminary signs of potential market movements. CrypNuevo observed two crucial liquidity areas of interest: between $62,500 and $63,500 (primary short-term liquidity zone) and around $67,100 (significant mid-term zone). Additionally, CrypNuevo noted an issue in the opposite direction involving a long wick, which will likely get filled to balance the open interest gaps. “So I finally came up with this projection: Not necessarily for the week ahead, the time frame is more like 2-3 weeks. Impulsive moves up to liquidate high-leverage short positions and then drop back down to fill the 50% of the wick. Forming a potential accumulation range,” CrypNuevo wrote. Read more: Bitcoin Price Rebounds Past $63,000: Will It Hit $70K in July? Etherfi Announces ETHFI Airdrop Season 3 Etherfi, a protocol offering liquid restaking services on the Ethereum network, has announced details concerning its Season 3 ETHFI airdrop. Etherfi has committed to distributing 25 million ETHFI tokens. The allocation of these tokens will be based on each community member’s level of participation and engagement. Season 3 kicked off on July 1 and is expected to run until the beginning of September. Following the end of the season, the airdrop distribution will take place. SUI and Other Major Token Unlocks Ethena (ENA), the synthetic currency protocol on Ethereum, will unlock 14.89 million of its native token, ENA, dedicated to ecosystem development. These tokens represent 0.92% of ENA’s circulating supply and are worth approximately $7.62 million. In addition to ENA, DYDX and SUI have also held token unlocks earlier this week. Read more: DYDX, IO, SUI, and Other Major Token Unlocks to Watch in July 2024 zkSync Introduces Elastic Chain in 3.0 Roadmap zkSync, an Ethereum layer-2 (L2) network, has introduced a new “Elastic Chain” feature in its latest zkSync 3.0 roadmap. The v24 upgrade transforms zkSync into an Elastic chain from a single ZK chain. This Elastic Chain comprises multiple chains within the zkSync ecosystem, offering users the experience of using a single chain. Matter Labs, the team behind zkSync, describes the Elastic Chain as an infinitely extensible network of ZK chains. These include rollups, validiums, and volitions. They are secured by mathematical proofs and seamlessly interoperable with a uniform, intuitive user experience. Parcl’s Upcoming PRCL Staking Program Parcl, a real-world asset (RWA) tokenization protocol on the layer-1 blockchain Solana, will present its upcoming PRCL staking program this week. Staking will effectively unlock all participation in the Parcl ecosystem, including governance, existing and future protocol incentives, and Parcl Labs Data API access. Epochs are a fundamental principle of time for staking, with one epoch equaling seven days. The first epoch will be announced shortly. Zero1 Labs Reveals a New Community Program Zero1 Labs, a decentralized AI solution, has announced a major activation for the Zero1 community. This initiative, involving over 25 prominent communities, aims to further decentralize its native token, DEAI. The new Community Program seeks to foster greater engagement within crypto communities and expand Zero1 Labs into the largest AI crypto community. It delivers exclusive rewards to new supporters by forming strategic alliances with top community projects. Collaborating with well-known communities, Zero1 Labs offers users a chance to claim a share of a $2 million DEAI prize pool. Participants can earn rewards by engaging with the community and writing unique content about Zero1 Labs. They can enhance their chances of receiving more rewards by completing various social tasks, such as following on X, joining the Discord community, and discussing DEAI on X. The Community Program will officially kick off on July 3, 2024. To ensure fair participation, snapshots of specific communities will be taken the day before the announcement. This snapshot will determine eligibility, giving participants limited time to engage in social activities and maximize rewards. NATIX Token Launch and Listings NATIX Network will launch its token, NATIX, on July 2. On the same day, major crypto exchanges, including KuCoin and Gate.io, will list the NATIX token on their respective platforms. This launch is anticipated to provide significant opportunities for traders and investors as it becomes available on prominent exchanges. NATIX is an AI-powered dynamic map supercharged by the decentralized physical infrastructure (DePIN) and driver community. Conclusion This week’s news highlights significant milestones and potential market shifts in the crypto space. Investors should closely monitor the release of the FOMC meeting minutes and macroeconomic data, as they could impact Bitcoin and the broader market. Participating in Zero1 Labs' Community Program and Etherfi’s ETHFI airdrop Season 3 could offer lucrative opportunities. The launch of NATIX tokens and major token unlocks, like SUI and ENA, may present trading opportunities. Additionally, zkSync’s Elastic Chain and Parcl’s PRCL staking program could signal important developments in the DeFi sector. Stay informed, engage with these events, and be ready to act on emerging trends to maximize your investment potential.
Week 26 saw a significant decline in the crypto market, with Bitcoin shedding around 16% of its value. Bitvavo's detailed analysis attributes this downturn to a general atmosphere of uncertainty rather than specific events. Quick Take Bitcoin experienced a significant decline, losing 16% of its value in Week 26, attributed by Bitvavo to a general market uncertainty. Weekend trading volumes for Bitcoin have reached historic lows, and the impending Mt. Gox repayment could further increase selling pressure. On-chain indicators suggest profit-taking among investors, but Bitcoin's 200-day average remains stable, with potential bullish reversal targets at $64,770. Bitcoin's price has been stagnant recently, with investors closely monitoring inflation metrics and anticipating potential Federal Reserve actions. Analysts predict rough waters ahead, with several bearish indicators suggesting increased selling pressure in July. Mt. Gox Repayments of 140,000 BTC Start in July A significant bearish event in June was the announcement of Mt. Gox repayments. Starting in early July 2024, Mt. Gox will repay 140,000 BTC (worth around $9 billion) to its creditors. This long-awaited repayment follows a decade after the exchange's collapse. Analysts fear this distribution could lead to increased selling pressure, further impacting Bitcoin's price. Read more: Will $10 Billion in Bitcoin Repayments From Mt. Gox Weaken BTC Price? Bitcoin’s Weekend Trading Drops to 16% in 2024 Bitcoin's trading volume on weekends has dropped to its lowest level in history, according to TheBlock. In 2019, up to 28% of Bitcoin trading occurred on weekends; in 2024, this figure has fallen to 16%. Kaiko's report suggests that the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs contributes to this decline, as ETF trading only occurs during the stock market's open hours on weekdays. Consequently, the last hour of market trading has become a popular time for Bitcoin trading. The closures of crypto-friendly Signature and Silicon Valley banks in March 2023 have also influenced market dynamics, as per a news report on Cointelegraph. These banks operated 24/7 networks, allowing large buy and sell orders for crypto. Since their closures, market makers have been less inclined to provide liquidity in a low-volume environment. Runes Activity Sees 90% Drop on Bitcoin Network Runes daily transactions on Bitcoin network | Source: Dune Analytics Recent data from Dune Analytics reveals a dramatic decrease in activity for the Runes token standard on the Bitcoin blockchain, with daily transactions plummeting by over 88% from their peak in June. Between June 22-28, average daily Runes transactions dropped to 37,820, a 90% decline from the 331,040 recorded between June 9-15, and on June 24, transactions hit a low of 23,238, the lowest since the protocol’s launch on April 20, 2024. This decline has significantly impacted Bitcoin miner fees, with Runes contributing less than 2 Bitcoin in fees over the past six days, down from 884 Bitcoin on April 24. The Runes protocol, created by Ordinals' Casey Rodarmor, was intended to efficiently create new tokens on the Bitcoin network, but recent data shows Runes transactions now account for only 4.9% to 11.1% of all Bitcoin transactions in the past week. The reduction in network fees, coupled with Bitcoin’s price decline, has led to a near-record low in Bitcoin’s hash price, a key indicator of miner revenue, and Bitcoin miner reserves have fallen to 1.90 million Bitcoin, the lowest level in over 14 years. Increased Profit-Taking Among Bitcoin Investors? Here’s a look at key on-chain indicators from a report in Cointelegraph and what they reveal about Bitcoin investors’ preferences: Bitcoin’s 30-day average aSOPR | Source: Cointelegraph Profit-Taking: On-chain indicators reveal increasing profit-taking among Bitcoin investors. The 30-day average of Bitcoin's Adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio (aSOPR) has risen from 1 to 1.03 since May, indicating more investors are selling at a profit. This trend often precedes market corrections. Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL): The NUPL metric suggests potential upside exhaustion among Bitcoin buyers. A NUPL reading over 0 indicates investors are in profit, with an increasing trend hinting at a market correction. Currently, the 30-day average NUPL stands at 0.54. Increased Bitcoin Ownership: Glassnode data shows a consistent rise in the number of wallet addresses holding at least one Bitcoin. Over a million wallets now hold at least one Bitcoin, supporting a bullish outlook. Read more: Bitcoin’s Price Plummets to $61,000: Key Factors Behind the Recent Decline Bitcoin Technical Analysis: Bullish Reversal to $64,770 or Drop to $56,000? BTC/USDT price chart | KuCoin Bitcoin's 4-hour chart indicates a possible breakdown of a bull pennant. This pattern, formed during a price consolidation following a strong downward move, suggests a potential drop to around $56,000 if the lower trendline is breached. Conversely, a bullish reversal could target $64,770 if Bitcoin breaks above the 50-4H EMA at around $61,925. Bitvavo's Bitcoin Price Prediction: Breakout Past $76,000 on the Cards? Bitvavo highlights that Bitcoin's drop to $57,000 marks the second time it has reached the bottom of a price range that has persisted for nearly four months. This consolidation period mirrors that observed last summer, with Bitcoin's price stabilizing for over half a year. Despite recent fluctuations, Bitcoin remains above its 200-day long-term average. Bitvavo predicts a potential breakout above $76,000, albeit with caution given the market's unpredictability. The recent decline in Bitcoin's value is attributed to a global atmosphere of uncertainty. Investors face mixed economic signals and unpredictable market movements, leading to increased concerns and volatility. This nervousness underscores the importance of thorough market analysis and a thoughtful investment strategy. Other Analyst Predictions for BTC Indicate Gains Quinten Francois, an analyst and trader, predicts a 2016-2017 style bull run for Bitcoin, fueled by gains observed in previous post-halving cycles. Another analyst, @therationalroot, identifies Q3 as a crucial period for Bitcoin price gains. Conclusion The last week of the first half year, week 26, of 2024 highlighted the volatile nature of the crypto market, with significant factors influencing Bitcoin's price movements. While bearish indicators suggest potential challenges ahead, the long-term outlook remains cautiously optimistic, with analysts predicting possible bullish reversals and significant gains in the upcoming months.
The long-anticipated repayment of $10 billion worth of Bitcoin to Mt. Gox creditors is set to begin in July. While many fear this could lead to a flood of Bitcoin hitting the market, analysts suggest the impact may not be as severe as expected. Quick Take Analysts predict the scheduled repayment of $10 billion worth of Bitcoin may not significantly impact prices. Experts believe much of the expected selling pressure from Mt. Gox repayments is already reflected in current market conditions. Many Mt. Gox creditors are long-term holders, less likely to sell immediately despite significant gains. Bitcoin is approaching crucial support levels, indicating potential stabilization or further declines. Mt. Gox, a Japanese cryptocurrency exchange, collapsed in 2014 after a massive hack. The exchange lost around 940,000 BTC, worth approximately $64 million at the time. Over the years, Mt. Gox recovered 141,687 BTC to return to its creditors, which is now valued at $10 billion. These repayments are scheduled to start in early July. Read more: Bitcoin’s Price Plummets to $61,000: Key Factors Behind the Recent Decline Analysts Expect Only Around 50% of the BTC to Hit Markets in July Tony Sycamore, an analyst at IG Markets, estimates that around half of the total Bitcoin — worth roughly $5 billion — could be set to hit the market in July. However, Sycamore believes much of the expected sell pressure is already priced into the current market conditions. He points out that the repayments have been anticipated for a long time and are occurring amidst deteriorating market sentiment, technical selling, and outflows from Bitcoin ETFs. Galaxy Research suggests that only 65,000 of the total 141,000 BTC might actually hit the market. The firm predicts that about 75% of creditors will opt for an early payout, sacrificing 10% of their repayment, resulting in an approximate 95,000 BTC hitting the market initially. Additionally, 20,000 BTC is owed to claims funds, and 10,000 BTC to Bitcoinica BK, leaving just 65,000 BTC for regular creditors. Will Mt. Gox Creditors HODL Their Bitcoins? Sam Callahan, senior analyst at Swan Bitcoin, believes the impact on Bitcoin's price from Mt. Gox distributing Bitcoin is likely overblown. He argues that creditors who wanted to sell their Bitcoin have had more than ten years to do so through selling their bankruptcy claims to more convicted, long-term investors. Callahan also highlights that most creditors will likely hold their Bitcoin because their cost basis is less than $700 per Bitcoin. Despite the fears, some observers believe that the concerns about the sell pressure from Mt. Gox repayments may be overblown. Alistair Milne, CIO of Altana Digital Currency Fund, noted that distressed or urgent sellers likely sold their claims years ago. He suggests that the remaining creditors are not under pressure to sell immediately. Bitcoin to Test Levels Between $55k and $75 Bitcoin has been consolidating within a descending parallel channel since its bull run in March 2024. Analysts are closely watching the psychological support level of $60,000 and the 200-day exponential moving average at around $58,000. Independent market analyst Teddy Cleps anticipates Bitcoin could slide towards $61,000, which aligns with historical support levels. BTC/USDT price chart | Source: KuCoin The announcement of Mt. Gox repayments has led to increased demand for short-term BTC put options, indicating renewed interest in downside protection. BTC's market dominance fell by 1.8% to 54.34%, reflecting investor apprehension about the potential impact of the repayments. While Bitcoin's price continues to face downward pressure, some analysts remain optimistic. Michael Novogratz of Galaxy Digital Holdings predicts that Bitcoin will trade within the $55,000-75,000 range throughout Q2 2024, driven by new market events and regulatory clarity. Read more: Bitcoin Price Prediction 2024 Conclusion The upcoming Mt. Gox repayments have stirred significant concern among Bitcoin investors. However, many analysts believe the impact may be less dramatic than feared. Much of the expected sell pressure appears to be already priced into the market, and many creditors are likely to hold their Bitcoin rather than sell immediately. As Bitcoin approaches crucial support levels, the market's reaction in the coming weeks will be critical in determining its short-term trajectory.
In the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency market has experienced a significant downturn. Major tokens, including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Cardano (ADA), and Solana (SOL), have all seen sharp declines. This market slide has led to over $150 million in bullish bets being liquidated. Quick Take Major cryptocurrencies experienced a sharp decline of up to 7.5% in the past 24 hours, affecting Bitcoin, Ethereum, Cardano, and Solana. Bitcoin's 3% price drop led to over $150 million in bullish bets being liquidated, causing widespread market concern. The decline is attributed to large sales from Bitcoin miners and the German government moving significant amounts of BTC to exchanges. Bitcoin prices are approaching critical support levels, indicating potential further declines if these levels are breached. Bitcoin Takes a Hit Bitcoin has been at the forefront of this downturn, losing 3% of its value. This decline has erased the gains made last week, causing concern among traders and investors. The drop in Bitcoin's price is attributed to several factors, including large sales from Bitcoin miners and the German government moving significant amounts of BTC to exchanges. BTC/USDT price chart | Source: KuCoin Altcoins Also Suffer Altcoins have not been spared in this downturn. Ethereum, Cardano, and Binance Coin (BNB) registered similar losses to Bitcoin. Solana's SOL dropped 7%, trading at nearly $120 on Monday morning. Memecoins Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB) also fell by nearly 5%. Why Is Bitcoin Price Sliding Down? Here’s a look at some of the key factors driving Bitcoin prices lower: Sales from Bitcoin Miners: Bitcoin miners have been under pressure to sell due to higher breakeven prices post-halving. This has resulted in miner BTC holdings dropping to their lowest level in the past 14 years. Singapore-based QCP Capital highlighted that miner BTC reserves are lower by 50,000 from the start of the year. Miners have been selling due to the higher breakeven prices post-halving. QCP Capital noted that this has led to a significant drop in miner BTC holdings, contributing to the market decline. German Government's BTC Sales: The German government allegedly sold around 3,000 BTC recently, with plans to sell another 47,000. This large pool of supply entering the market has spooked investors, contributing to the market decline. The German Federal Criminal Police Office (BKA) moved tens of millions worth of BTC to exchanges like Coinbase and Kraken last week. This move has created additional downward pressure on the market. Whale Activities: Bitcoin whales, entities with large holdings of the coin, sold over $1 billion worth of BTC in the first two weeks of June. This activity has added to the market's bearish sentiment. Broader Market Sentiment: The overall market sentiment has been negatively impacted by these movements, causing a broader sell-off. The CoinDesk 20, which tracks major tokens minus stablecoins, slumped just over 4%. Impact on Liquidations: The market's sharp decline has resulted in significant liquidations. Over $150 million in bullish bets (long positions) were liquidated, while bearish bets (short positions) saw a smaller $9 million in losses. Liquidation occurs when an exchange forcefully closes a trader's leveraged position due to a loss of the trader's initial margin. Read more: MicroStrategy Buys 11,931 BTC More, Total Bitcoin Holdings Worth Around $15B Is Bitcoin Getting Ready to Test Support at $60,000? Bitcoin is now heading toward crucial support levels, including the psychological support level of $60,000 and the 200-day exponential moving average (200-day EMA) at around $58,000. Market analysts are closely watching these levels to gauge Bitcoin's next move. Bitcoin Price Predictions: $50,000 or $75,000? Market analysts have varying predictions for Bitcoin's price movement. Some believe Bitcoin may find support around the $60,000 level, while others predict further declines to $50,000. Independent market analyst Teddy Cleps anticipates a slide toward $61,000, citing historical support at the 21-weekly EMA. Bitcoin price chart exhibits double top pattern | Source: 10x Research on X Bullish Scenarios: Despite the current bearish sentiment, some analysts remain optimistic. Michael Novogratz of Galaxy Digital Holdings predicts that Bitcoin will trade within the $55,000-75,000 range throughout Q2 2024. He believes new market events could drive prices higher after the current stagnation. Read more: Bitcoin Price Prediction 2024 Conclusion The recent market downturn has highlighted the volatility and sensitivity of the cryptocurrency market to large-scale movements and external factors. While Bitcoin and other major tokens have experienced significant declines, the market's next move will depend on how it reacts to key support levels and upcoming economic data. Investors and traders should remain cautious and closely monitor market developments in the coming days.
MicroStrategy, a Nasdaq-listed software firm, has made waves again by acquiring an additional 11,931 Bitcoin (BTC) for $786 million. This purchase boosts their total holdings to 226,331 BTC, valued at just under $15 billion at current prices. Michael Saylor, the company's Executive Chairman, continues to lead the charge in Bitcoin accumulation, having begun this strategic move in 2020. Quick Take MicroStrategy acquires 11,931 BTC for $786 million, bringing its total holdings to 226,331 BTC worth nearly $15 billion. Winklevoss twins donate $2 million in Bitcoin to support Donald Trump, highlighting the intersection of crypto and politics. Institutional interest in Bitcoin is growing, with analysts predicting prices could reach $100,000. MicroStrategy’s Bold Move: Adding 11,931 BTC MicroStrategy's latest purchase price averaged $36,798 per Bitcoin. This follows an $800 million convertible note offering to institutional investors. Initially set at $500 million, the offering size increased due to high demand, finally closing at $800 million. Earlier, in March, the company acquired 9,245 BTC for $623 million through a similar debt issuance. Saylor's strategy aims to encourage other corporations to adopt Bitcoin as a reserve asset. While a few companies have added Bitcoin to their balance sheets, the most notable is Semler Scientific (SMLR). Recently, Semler not only acquired Bitcoin but also tapped capital markets to purchase more, echoing MicroStrategy's approach. Read more: MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Holdings and Purchase History: A Strategic Overview Market Reactions and MSTR Share Performance MSTR stock price | Source: TradingView Since MicroStrategy started buying Bitcoin, its shares have soared nearly tenfold. Semler's shares have also risen by over 60% since their first Bitcoin acquisition in late May. Recently, brokerage firm Bernstein set a $2,890 price target for MicroStrategy shares, giving them an outperform rating. Currently, MSTR is trading at $1,507, up 2% premarket. Winklevoss Twins Donate $2 Million in Bitcoin to Support Donald Trump In a notable development, cryptocurrency billionaires Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss have each donated $1 million worth of Bitcoin to support Donald Trump’s 2024 campaign. This significant contribution highlights their alignment with Trump's pro-crypto stance. Tyler Winklevoss expressed his support, citing Trump's favorable policies towards Bitcoin, crypto, and business. The donations are intended for the Trump 47 Committee, a joint fundraising committee. The Winklevoss twins' support marks a shift in Trump’s position on cryptocurrencies. Once a skeptic, Trump has embraced Bitcoin, positioning it as a defense against Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs). This support from influential crypto figures like the Winklevoss twins underscores the growing intersection of cryptocurrency and politics. Bitcoin Miners Diversify Into Trending Sectors Bitcoin miners are increasingly diversifying into the booming artificial intelligence (AI) sector. The transition is driven by reduced mining rewards and the high demand for energy-intensive data centers by AI firms. This shift reflects miners’ efforts to boost revenue through new channels. Bitcoin Trades Around $65,000, Analysts Prediction $100,000 BTC/USDT price chart | Source: KuCoin Bitcoin, trading around $65,715, has seen a slight increase, sparking cautious optimism. Notably, a crypto whale recently bought 6,070 BTC worth approximately $395 million, marking their first significant purchase in over 18 months. This whale's strategic buys and sells in previous market cycles indicate renewed faith in Bitcoin’s future. Crypto analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin's trajectory, with some forecasting a rise to $100,000. Ali Martinez notes that over 70% of open Bitcoin positions on Binance are bullish. Another analyst, Jelle, highlights Bitcoin's support levels and suggests that a bounce could propel the price to $72,000 soon, setting the stage for a potential climb to $100,000. Increasing Institutional Interest in BTC Institutional investors are increasingly eyeing Bitcoin, signaling broader acceptance and integration into mainstream finance. According to CoinCodex, Bitcoin's price could rise by 30% to over $85,000 in July, despite current bearish technical indicators. This potential disconnect between market sentiment and price action underscores the complex dynamics at play. Bitcoin Faces Selling Pressures in the Short-Term Despite bullish Bitcoin price predictions, some traders and analysts point out challenges. CryptoQuant's data shows significant selling by long-term holders and miners, with over $1.2 billion worth of BTC sold in the past two weeks. This selling pressure, coupled with stablecoin liquidity slowing, indicates some hesitance among large holders. Spot Bitcoin ETF Performance Expectations for a rate cut in September | Source: CME FedWatch U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETFs have seen net outflows, with $600 million withdrawn last week. The CME FedWatch Tool shows a 35.9% chance of the Fed maintaining interest rates in September, affecting Bitcoin demand. Future Outlook Despite recent price dips and selling pressures, Bitcoin's long-term outlook remains positive. Institutional interest, strategic corporate purchases, and bullish analyst predictions suggest a potential for significant price gains. As market dynamics evolve, Bitcoin's role as a reserve asset and investment vehicle continues to grow. Conclusion MicroStrategy's latest Bitcoin purchase underscores the company's commitment to Bitcoin as a strategic asset. This move, along with bullish market sentiment and growing institutional interest, paints a promising picture for Bitcoin's future. However, market watchers should stay alert to potential challenges and shifts in investor behavior.
MicroStrategy has announced its plan to raise $500 million through the sale of convertible senior notes to buy more Bitcoin. This move highlights the company's strategic focus on the leading cryptocurrency. Let's dive into what this means for the crypto world. Quick Take MicroStrategy aims to raise $500 million, with an option to increase by $75 million, through convertible senior notes maturing in 2032. The company currently holds 214,400 BTC, valued at approximately $14.52 billion, representing over 1% of Bitcoin's total circulating supply. The bond sale underlines MicroStrategy's ongoing strategy to invest heavily in Bitcoin, spearheaded by its founder and chairman, Michael Saylor. The notes provide flexibility in managing debt while benefiting from potential equity appreciation. This move could influence other companies to incorporate cryptocurrency into their treasury strategies. MicroStrategy’s New Bond Offering MicroStrategy plans to sell $500 million in convertible senior notes, due in 2032, to qualified institutional buyers. These notes, unsecured and senior obligations, will bear interest semi-annually. Investors can convert them into cash, MicroStrategy class A common stock, or both. This offering is subject to market conditions and might not be completed as planned. The funds raised will be used to purchase additional Bitcoin, continuing MicroStrategy's aggressive investment in the cryptocurrency since 2020. This strategy has seen the company amass 214,400 BTC, making it the largest public-listed holder of Bitcoin. Read more: MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Holdings and Purchase History: A Strategic Overview Redemption of 2025 Convertible Notes MicroStrategy also plans to redeem $650 million worth of its 2025 convertible senior notes on July 15, 2024. Holders can convert these notes into MicroStrategy shares at a conversion rate of 2.5126 shares per $1,000 principal amount, with a conversion price of $397.99 per share. MicroStrategy and Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin Acquisition Strategy MicroStrategy has previously used debt financing to acquire Bitcoin. For instance, in March, the company raised $600 million through a similar convertible note offering, leading to the acquisition of 9,245 BTC. In another instance, they purchased 12,000 BTC for $821.7 million using funds from a convertible debt offering. These moves reflect the company’s belief in Bitcoin as a valuable treasury reserve asset, a stance strongly advocated by Michael Saylor. Broader Market Implications BTC/USDT price chart | Source: KuCoin MicroStrategy's actions signal a growing trend among businesses to incorporate cryptocurrency into their financial strategies. The move to raise funds through convertible notes for Bitcoin purchases highlights the increasing institutional interest in digital assets. Michael Saylor has been a vocal proponent of Bitcoin, viewing it as a hedge against inflation and a superior store of value compared to traditional assets. By holding over 1% of Bitcoin’s total circulating supply, MicroStrategy positions itself as a significant player in the crypto market. While this aggressive strategy can lead to substantial gains if Bitcoin's value appreciates, it also exposes the company to high market volatility. The price of Bitcoin can fluctuate significantly, impacting the value of MicroStrategy's holdings and its stock price. Conclusion MicroStrategy's latest move to raise $500 million through convertible notes to buy more Bitcoin underscores its unwavering commitment to the digital currency. This strategy, led by Michael Saylor, has positioned the company as a major Bitcoin holder and highlights a broader trend of integrating cryptocurrencies into corporate treasury strategies. Investing in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies involves substantial risks due to their volatile nature. Investors should be aware of these risks and conduct thorough research before engaging in such investments. MicroStrategy’s significant investment in Bitcoin showcases its confidence in the cryptocurrency’s future but also highlights the potential risks associated with such a strategy.
The latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting has sparked significant interest among cryptocurrency investors, particularly for Bitcoin (BTC) holders. The U.S. Federal Reserve's decisions on interest rates and economic projections can substantially influence Bitcoin's price. Here’s a look at the potential impact of recent macroeconomic events on Bitcoin and what investors should watch for in the coming months. Quick Take Benchmark rate held at 5.25%-5.50%: The Federal Reserve decided to maintain its benchmark fed funds rate range. This decision was widely anticipated by the market. Expectations of a single 25 basis point rate cut this year: The Fed's economic outlook now calls for just one rate cut in 2024, down from the previously expected three cuts. Slight improvement in inflation: The Fed noted modest progress toward its 2% inflation target, marking a change from earlier concerns about a lack of progress. May CPI data shows unexpected slowdown: The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May indicated a slowdown in inflation, with core CPI rising just 0.2%, lower than expected. Bitcoin and other assets react: Bitcoin saw an initial rise following the CPI report but later lost momentum after the Fed's economic projections were released. Bitcoin Price Swings After CPI Data and Fed Decision BTC/USDT price chart | Source: KuCoin Bitcoin initially reacted positively to the CPI report, which showed a lower-than-expected inflation increase. BTC surged to $69,400, up nearly 4% over the past 24 hours. However, the subsequent release of the Fed's economic projections tempered this enthusiasm. By 19:00 UTC, Bitcoin had settled back to $67,300, reflecting a cautious market stance. Bitcoin's price often shows sensitivity to U.S. economic data and Federal Reserve meetings. Historically, BTC has experienced price pullbacks leading up to Fed decisions, only to resume its uptrend after the events. This pattern was evident in recent months when Bitcoin fell from its all-time high above $73,000 in March to below $57,000 in May due to hotter inflation figures and diminished hopes for rate cuts. Spot Bitcoin ETFs Record Outflows of $200M U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs have also seen significant outflows ahead of key macroeconomic reports. For instance, on Tuesday, ETFs recorded $200 million in net outflows, reflecting a risk-off sentiment among traders. Grayscale’s GBTC accounted for the majority of these outflows, highlighting the cautious approach investors are taking in response to the Fed's announcements. Long-Term Bullish Outlook Holds for Bitcoin Despite the short-term headwinds, some analysts remain bullish on Bitcoin's long-term prospects. 10x Research maintains a positive outlook, expressing confidence that Bitcoin's rally will resume. Their analysis suggests that lower CPI figures tend to lift Bitcoin prices, and they anticipate this trend will continue as inflationary pressures ease. "Our recommendation remains unchanged: to stick with the winners (Bitcoin) and avoid others (such as Ethereum). Our previous analysis has shown that a lower CPI number tends to lift Bitcoin prices, and we anticipate this trend will continue," Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research. Other Factors to Drive Volatility in Bitcoin’s Price Fed's Dot Plot: The Fed's "dot plot," which shows FOMC members' interest rate projections, is crucial for understanding future rate expectations. Any indications of more rate cuts could positively impact Bitcoin and other risk assets. Global Central Bank Policies: Contrasting the U.S. outlook, several key central banks globally have started lowering benchmark rates. This divergence in monetary policy could influence the U.S. dollar index and, by extension, Bitcoin's price. U.S. Treasury Secretary's Speech: Janet Yellen's upcoming speech could also impact risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Market participants will closely monitor her comments for any hints on economic policy changes. ETF Flows: The flow of funds into and out of Bitcoin ETFs will be a critical indicator of investor sentiment. A return to positive inflows could signal renewed confidence in Bitcoin's price trajectory. Conclusion The interplay between macroeconomic events and Bitcoin's price remains complex and dynamic. The latest FOMC meeting and CPI report have shown how sensitive Bitcoin is to U.S. economic data. While short-term volatility is expected, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive, especially as inflationary pressures ease and the potential for future rate cuts grows. Investors should stay informed about upcoming economic indicators and central bank policies to navigate the crypto market effectively. Bitcoin's resilience and its response to macroeconomic events underline its growing importance as an asset class. As always, keeping a close eye on market developments and economic trends will be crucial for making informed investment decisions.
Bitcoin (BTC) is under pressure as the market anticipates significant events that could impact its price. The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report and the Federal Reserve meeting are set to provide critical insights into inflation and monetary policy. Here's what to watch for and how these events could affect Bitcoin. Quick Take Core Inflation: Expected slight decrease to 3.5% from 3.6%. This slight reduction is anticipated due to a more normalized month-over-month increase of 0.2%, down from the previous 0.3%. Housing Rent: Anticipated decline in rent prices could influence the Federal Reserve's decisions. Lower rent growth, especially in Owners' Equivalent Rent, could contribute to a decrease in core inflation, making a stronger case for potential rate cuts by the Fed. CPI Report and Fed Meeting: The CPI report will be released hours before the Federal Reserve's meeting, setting the stage for market reactions. Analysts expect the CPI to show a 0.1% increase in May, maintaining an annual inflation rate of 3.4%. Bitcoin Price Behavior: Historical patterns show that Bitcoin often experiences price pullbacks before Fed meetings, only to resume its uptrend post-event. Recently, Bitcoin dropped over 5% to around $67,350, reflecting market caution ahead of these key economic indicators. Exchange Withdrawals: Significant BTC withdrawals from Coinbase, with the total BTC balance on Coinbase Pro decreasing by 14,420 BTC ($972 million) within 24 hours. Core Inflation and Housing Rent Investment banks predict a slight decrease in core inflation, excluding food and energy, to 3.5% from 3.6% in April. A decline in housing rent, a major component of core CPI, is expected to ease inflation pressures. RBC economists suggest that a slower increase in core services ex-rent measure, closely watched by the Fed, could boost hopes for a rate cut. ING economists also foresee a reduction in Owners' Equivalent Rent, which holds a 40% weight in the core CPI basket. Easing shelter price pressures could support Fed rate cut expectations, potentially weakening the dollar and boosting risk assets like Bitcoin. CPI Report and Fed Meeting Wednesday will be pivotal as the Labor Department releases the CPI report just hours before the Federal Reserve's meeting. The CPI is expected to show a 0.1% increase in May, maintaining the annual inflation rate at 3.4%. The core CPI is forecasted to rise by 0.3%, matching April's pace. The Fed is expected to keep the benchmark borrowing cost unchanged between 5.25% and 5.5% and publish the interest rate dot plot chart. The CPI data will influence the dot plot projections and Fed Chair Jerome Powell's post-meeting statement. Potential Scenarios Lower-than-Expected Core CPI: If the core CPI comes in lower than expected, it could strengthen the case for a Fed rate cut, leading to a weaker dollar. A weaker dollar typically supports a rally in risk assets, including Bitcoin. Higher-than-Expected Core CPI: A core CPI above 0.4% month-over-month could bolster the dollar, putting additional pressure on Bitcoin. Such a scenario would dampen expectations for rate cuts, likely impacting Bitcoin negatively. Bitcoin's Historical Behavior Around Fed Decisions BTC/USDT price chart | Source: KuCoin Bitcoin has historically experienced price pullbacks leading up to Fed meetings, only to resume its uptrend after the event. As BTC traded near $67,350 recently, it had lost over 5% since Friday. The dollar index also rose by 1% to 105.20 during this period. According to data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView, BTC's price action has steadied as markets brace for the CPI report and Fed meeting. However, Bitcoin's price fell to $66,000 the day before, leading to long liquidations totaling over $50 million. Market Reactions and Expert Insights Traders have noted Bitcoin's weak price behavior ahead of these key events. Popular trader Follis pointed out that BTC has been trading in a range for three months, and some analysts predict further downside if market dynamics do not change. Rekt Capital, a well-known trader and analyst, highlighted that Bitcoin was unable to break out early in the post-halving period, as historical trends suggested. Liquidity is building around $65,700 to the downside, with $67,700 forming a key resistance level. Exchange Withdrawals and Market Sentiment On-chain data captured ongoing exchange withdrawals, particularly from Coinbase. The total BTC balance on Coinbase Pro decreased by 14,420 BTC ($972 million) in 24 hours, contributing to the lowest overall exchange balances in seven years. Glassnode reported a net transfer volume of 17,967 BTC ($1.21 billion) from exchanges on June 11. U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs Witnessed net outflows of $200 million U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) experienced net outflows of $200 million on Tuesday, following a record streak of net inflows. Grayscale's GBTC witnessed the largest net outflows, totaling $121 million, while BlackRock's IBIT recorded zero flows on the same day. Markets are now anticipating key economic indicators from the U.S., with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting results and CPI data set to influence Bitcoin's price. Conclusion The upcoming U.S. CPI report and Fed meeting are crucial events that could significantly impact Bitcoin. A lower-than-expected core CPI could strengthen the case for a Fed rate cut, potentially boosting Bitcoin. Conversely, a higher-than-expected core CPI could bolster the dollar and put pressure on Bitcoin. As Bitcoin navigates these macroeconomic events, traders and investors should stay vigilant and monitor key levels and market dynamics. The ongoing exchange withdrawals and historical price patterns suggest a complex interplay between economic indicators and Bitcoin's price trajectory.
Bitcoin starts a new week wrestling with its old 2021 all-time high of $69,000. This marks a crucial resistance level as the price action shows a battle between bulls and bears. Recent volatility in June has made trading interesting yet unpredictable. U.S. macroeconomic data has shown its power to flip Bitcoin’s trajectory swiftly. Quick Take Bitcoin is currently challenging its 2021 all-time high of $69,000, facing significant resistance at this level. U.S. macroeconomic data and Federal Reserve decisions are driving considerable volatility in Bitcoin's price. This week’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and Federal Reserve meeting are expected to significantly influence Bitcoin's market dynamics. Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated over 1 million BTC, highlighting strong interest from institutional investors. Bitcoin whales are actively re-accumulating BTC, indicating expectations of medium-term price increases. BTC Price Range Struggle BTC/USDT price chart | Source: KuCoin The $69,000 mark has become a focal point in the market. Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView indicates that Bitcoin’s price has been stuck in this range, with liquidity thickening around this spot price. Monitoring resources like CoinGlass suggesta potential for more volatility. Market Reactions and Predictions Popular trader Skew noted liquidity firming up around $70.5K to $71K and bid liquidity around $68K to $68.5K. Another trader, Daan Crypto Trades, pointed out the CME Group Bitcoin futures market’s closing price guiding Bitcoin’s price into the new week. He emphasized that the price action remains “as usual” around it. Michaël van de Poppe, founder and CEO of MNTrading, described Bitcoin as “consolidating between the two crucial levels.” He stated that breaking out at $71.7K would be significant, but it’s wise to remain conservative during CPI week. Key Macro Events This week, two major macro events will dominate the landscape: the Fed’s interest rate decision and the May Consumer Price Index (CPI) release. Both are set to happen on the same day, June 13. The Kobeissi Letter highlighted the importance of this Fed meeting, with all eyes on Fed guidance. Last week’s U.S. employment data caused a stir, briefly sending BTC/USD down nearly 2%. Popular trader CrypNuevo outlined two potential scenarios for Bitcoin’s reaction to this week’s data. The market believes that the Fed will not cut rates this month, but future meetings could see changes. Whale and ETF Activity Bitcoin whales are re-accumulating BTC for medium-term profits. Research from CryptoQuant’s Cauê Oliveira shows that large-volume BTC investors are loading up on coins. This pattern of accumulation and distribution directly impacts pricing. Additionally, Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have shown significant activity. In the first week of June, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs bought 25,729 BTC, nearly eight times more than the 3,150 BTC mined in the same period. This inflow is the biggest since mid-March when Bitcoin hit its current all-time high of $73,679. Michael Saylor, Chairman of MicroStrategy, highlighted that 34 Spot Bitcoin ETFs now hold over one million BTC. This milestone marks a huge achievement in the cryptocurrency market, indicating strong institutional and retail investor interest. Weekly Close and Future Prospects The latest weekly close for BTC/USD was significant, being the second-highest ever recorded at $69,630. Despite a last-minute dip into the weekend, buyers managed to reverse some of the losses. Daan Crypto Trades suggested that a weekly close above $69,000 would be a good start to leaving this price range behind. Rekt Capital, a popular trader and analyst, pointed out that Bitcoin has turned a major resistance area into new support on monthly timeframes. This resistance zone between $58,600 and $61,300, which defeated bulls in 2021, now acts in their favor. Conclusion Bitcoin continues to face a significant resistance level at $69,000, creating a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. This week’s macro events, particularly the Fed’s interest rate decision and the CPI release, will play a crucial role in determining Bitcoin’s short-term future. Meanwhile, the strong institutional interest in Bitcoin, evidenced by significant ETF inflows and whale activity, provides a bullish outlook for the medium term.
Bitcoin ETFs are experiencing significant inflows, with $880 million recorded on June 4 alone. This marks one of the highest single-day inflows since the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024. Following this, another $488.1 million flowed in on June 5, underscoring strong investor interest. Quick Take Bitcoin ETFs saw record inflows of $880 million on June 4 and an additional $488.1 million on June 5. Despite these inflows, Google searches for Bitcoin ETFs remain low, indicating potential future growth. Fidelity's Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund and BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust are at the forefront of these inflows. Bitcoin's price has surpassed $70K, but retail engagement is lower than in previous bull runs. Crypto analysts highlight the disparity between inflows and search trends, suggesting untapped potential. Bitcoin ETFs See Record Inflows Leading the charge was Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund, which attracted $220.6 million on June 4. Meanwhile, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust saw a substantial inflow of $350 million on June 6, highlighting its competitive edge in the market. Low Search Interest: A Surprising Trend Google search comparison: Bitcoin vs. BTC vs. Bitcoin ETF | Source: Google Trends Despite the substantial inflows, Google search data reveals a strikingly low level of interest in Bitcoin ETFs compared to previous market peaks. Terms like “Bitcoin” and “btc” scored 41 and 17 out of 100, respectively, while “bitcoin etf” scored less than 1 globally. This suggests that while institutional investors are actively participating, retail investors are not as engaged. Crypto analyst Miles Deutscher noted a significant drop in YouTube views for crypto-related content. In 2021, Bitcoin at $70K garnered 4 million views per day. In 2024, the same price point is attracting only 800K views daily. This indicates that retail investors have yet to fully re-engage with the market. Market Sentiment and Future Potential BTC/USDT price chart | Source: KuCoin The positive sentiment surrounding Bitcoin ETFs is not fully reflected in retail engagement. However, this could be a bullish indicator for future growth as retail investors might enter the market later, potentially driving prices higher. Bitcoin’s price has remained above $71,000, showing resilience and steady growth. However, the price has faced resistance around $72,000. Analysts suggest that the continued inflows into Bitcoin ETFs could provide the necessary support for breaking this resistance level. Analyst Insights Crypto analysts believe the current market dynamics are complex. Despite significant inflows and strong institutional interest, retail engagement remains subdued. This discrepancy could lead to future market rallies as more retail investors become aware of and participate in Bitcoin ETFs. Additionally, Bitcoin whales have been accumulating large amounts of BTC, contributing to the overall bullish sentiment. Over the past month, whales have amassed over 70,000 BTC, indicating strong confidence in Bitcoin’s future price performance. Conclusion Bitcoin ETFs are witnessing unprecedented inflows, driven by institutional investors. However, retail investor engagement remains low, as evidenced by Google search trends and YouTube viewership data. This presents a potential opportunity for future growth as retail investors re-enter the market. The current inflows and market dynamics suggest that Bitcoin ETFs are poised for continued success. As more investors, both institutional and retail, recognize the potential of these investment vehicles, Bitcoin's price could see further gains.
Key Highlights $69,000 Resistance: Key level for BTC this week. US Unemployment Data: Crucial economic indicators coming up. Breakout Potential: BTC set for a historic move. Mining Activity: Miners adjusting to new conditions. Kraken Withdrawal: Significant BTC outflow from Kraken. Bitcoin heads into June strong, with key resistance levels back in focus. Analysts are increasingly confident that BTC is gearing up for a historic breakout. According to news on Coin Telegraph, here's what you need to know this week. $69,000 Forms the Week’s Key Level BTC/USDT 5D price chart | Source: KuCoin Bitcoin saw some volatility over the weekend, but BTC/USD is back above $69,000. Traders see this level as crucial. Popular trader Skew notes that the market needs to sustain above $69,000 for continued upward momentum. Unemployment Data Precedes FOMC Week The week kicks off quietly in terms of macroeconomic data. However, U.S. jobless claims on June 6 and further unemployment numbers the day after could spark volatility. These figures are closely watched, as they influence the Federal Reserve's policy decisions. The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting will provide more clarity on interest rates. BTC Price Preps Breakout from ‘Longest Consolidation Yet’ Bitcoin is aligning with the U.S. M1 money supply, hinting at a significant breakout. Popular analyst TechDev highlights that Bitcoin has historically seen major surges after such alignments. This breakout follows the longest consolidation period in Bitcoin's history, suggesting a uniquely volatile move ahead. Mining Activity and Network Fundamentals Bitcoin’s network fundamentals are recovering after a dip in May. The difficulty level is set to increase by 1.7% on June 6, following a previous 1.5% rise. Despite these improvements, Bitcoin miners are facing tough conditions, selling off BTC post-halving. Miner balances have decreased by 2,500 BTC in the last 30 days. Kraken Sees Giant 48,000 BTC Withdrawal Kraken experienced nearly 50,000 BTC ($3.44 billion) withdrawals on May 30 and 31. This marks one of the largest daily withdrawals from Kraken. Market observers see this as a potential supply shock, suggesting a bullish outlook for BTC. Bitcoin is showing strong potential for a historic breakout. Key resistance levels, upcoming economic data, and significant network activity all point to an exciting week ahead. Keep an eye on these developments as the week progresses.
Robert Kiyosaki, the famous author of "Rich Dad Poor Dad," made headlines with his bold prediction about Bitcoin price. As per a news report on Benzinga, he believes Bitcoin will reach $350,000 by August 2024. Quick Take Robert Kiyosaki, renowned author of "Rich Dad Poor Dad," predicts that Bitcoin will hit $350,000 by August 2024. This projection has captured the attention of the crypto community and investors worldwide. Kiyosaki continues to invest heavily in cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. He believes these assets will see significant value increases. Despite Bitcoin’s bullish trends, experts consider Kiyosaki's prediction unrealistic. Bitcoin has grown by 70% year-to-date, but reaching $350,000 would require a nearly 5X increase from its current price. BTC/USDT price chart | Source: KuCoin TradingView Kiyosaki's Bold Projection On Wednesday, Kiyosaki took to social media platform X to share his staggering prediction. He stated, "It's a prediction. It's speculation, it's an opinion, but it's not a lie." He expressed confidence that Bitcoin will hit $350,000 sometime in 2024, calling it a target, dream, and wish. Kiyosaki's Continued Crypto Investment Kiyosaki mentioned he is buying more Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. He believes these cryptocurrencies will continue to soar in value. He also criticized President Joe Biden, Treasury Secretary Yellen, and Fed Chair Powell, dubbing them the "3 Stooges." "What I am confident of is the incompetence of our leaders, President Biden, Treasury Secretary Yellin, and Fed Chair Powell. Protect your self from the 3- Stooges." Market Reactions Kiyosaki has a history of making bold predictions. Earlier this year, he predicted Bitcoin would hit $100,000 by June 2024. With Bitcoin's price trajectory, this seems unlikely now. His latest prediction of $350,000 by August 2024 suggests a nearly 5X jump from its current price. Experts view this forecast as unrealistic. Despite bullish catalysts like spot Bitcoin ETFs, Bitcoin has grown just 70% year-to-date. However, steady growth is expected due to demand from permanent holders and whales, according to Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant. Kiyosaki's predictions continue to stir the crypto community. While his bold forecasts attract attention, market experts remain cautious. Keep an eye on Bitcoin's performance as these predictions unfold.
Key Highlights Bitcoin recently reached a crucial price level of $70,000. After a previous correction to $56,500, BTC rebounded to $69,100. Chamath Palihapitiya forecasts Bitcoin could reach $500,000 by October 2025. Significant price increases typically occur within 6-18 months post-Halving. Bitcoin could become a primary store of value and transactional utility. Adoption as a dual-currency asset may drive demand for BTC. According to a news report on News BTC, Bitcoin (BTC) recently hit the crucial $70,000 level after several sessions of range-bound trading. This has been a significant hurdle for its price consolidation. Despite reaching a new all-time high (ATH) of $73,700 in March, BTC saw a 20% correction to around $56,500 in early May. However, this correction triggered renewed bullish momentum, with BTC now trading at approximately $69,100. Chamath Palihapitiya, a venture capitalist and market expert, remains optimistic about Bitcoin's future. In a recent episode of the All In Podcast, Palihapitiya discussed BTC’s historical patterns concerning the Halving event, which occurs every four years and reduces the block reward for miners. Palihapitiya noted that after a halving, investors usually spend the first three months reassessing the price and market situation. Historically, significant price appreciation occurs within six to 18 months. Bitcoin Price and Halving Analysis BTC’s price prediction for the next 18 months after The Halving. Source. All In Podcast, Chamath Palihapatiya The first Bitcoin halving on November 28, 2012, reduced the block reward from 50 BTC to 25 BTC. Bitcoin was priced at $13 then and peaked at $1,152 within a year. The second halving on July 16, 2016, reduced the block reward to 12.5 BTC. Bitcoin’s price at that time was $664, and it peaked at $17,760 within a year. The third halving on May 11, 2020, reduced the block reward to 6.25 BTC. Bitcoin was priced at $9,734, and within a year, it reached an ATH of $69,000. Palihapitiya suggests that if Bitcoin follows its past performance, it could skyrocket to around $500,000 by October 2025. He believes Bitcoin could replace gold and serve as a transactional utility for hard assets. This potential, combined with concerns about fiat currency debasement, presents intriguing opportunities for Bitcoin. Increased Demand for BTC? Palihapitiya argues that as more countries adopt a dual-currency approach, recognizing Bitcoin alongside their local currency, the demand for BTC will increase. This shift will occur as people see the need for Bitcoin in daily transactions and as a store of value for permanent assets. Overall, Palihapitiya’s analysis of Bitcoin’s historical patterns following the halving events provides an optimistic outlook. The potential for Bitcoin to reach $500,000 by October 2025 and its growing recognition as a dual-currency asset alongside fiat currencies offers renewed prospects for investors and the broader cryptocurrency market.